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    The Open University Page 1 of 11 The Ope n Unive r sit y St a t ist ics D e pa r t m e nt / Gr oup 2 0 0 8 Re por t 1 . M e m be r ship Professor P.H. Gart hwait e ( Head of Group fr om May) Professor C.P. Farringt on ( Head of Group t o Apr il) Dr C.J. Albers Dr K. Anaya Professor F. Crit chley Dr A.E. Faria Professor J.C. Gow er Dr M.N. Hocine Dr G.E. I ossif Professor M.C. Jones Mr I .W. Mart in Dr K.J. McConway Dr C.M. Queen Dr N.T. Trendafilov Dr S.K. Vines Dr H.J. Whit aker Long- t e r m v isit or Dr P.C. Taylor ( Universit y of Hert fordshire) Shor t – t e r m visit or s Dr S. Kat o ( Keio Univer sit y, Japan) Dr P.V. Lar sen ( universit y of Sout hern Denm ark ) Professor N. Le Roux ( Universit y of St ellenbosch, Sout h Africa) Professor P.K. Mar riot t ( Universit y of Wat erloo, Canada) Professor P.W. Vos ( East Car olina Universit y, U.S.A.) Full– t im e r e se a r ch st ude nt s Mr T. Collins ( Joint wit h Com put ing, from Oct ober) Mr S. De Mr F Elfadaly ( from Oct ober) Mr D. Gragn Ms A. Noufaily Mr S. Unkel


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    The Open University Page 2 of 11 Pa r t – t im e r e se a r ch st ude nt s Mr N. Callej a Ms A. Gj ini Mr G. Kafat os Mr M. Mer ens Mr E. Mubwandarikwa Mr A. Ow en Mr J. Urquhart ( j oint wit h Applied Mat hem at ics) Suppor t st a f f Mrs S. Frain, Gr oup Secret ary 2 . I nt r oduct ion 2008 was, inevit ably, anot her act ive year for St at ist ics at t he Open Universit y in bot h research and t eaching. We had an out st anding success in t he Resear ch Assessm ent Ex er cise. Our overall profile is 5- 40- 45- 5- 0. Whichever league t able y ou r ead t his places us wit hin t he t op 20 St at ist ics groups in t he count ry. Congrat ulat ions t o all concerned! 2008 saw no changes in per sonnel. Our course BM240 Quant it at ive Met hods in Business saw it s final present at ion, while t he r evision of M346 Linear St at ist ical Modelling was com plet ed. Wor k st art ed on an ex cit ing new developm ent , M347 Mat hem at ical St at ist ics ( see below) and on a r evision of M343 Applicat ion of Probabilit y. The Group’s cour ses at t ract ed a t ot al of ov er 2300 st udent s in 2008. I n t he cour se of t he year, m em ber s of t he Depart m ent published 20 paper s in refereed j ournals ( see Sect ion 6) , plus cont ribut ions t o conference pr oceedings. Pre- publicat ion paper s and ot her r esear ch m at erial can be found in our t echnical report series, at ht t p: / / st at ist ics.open.ac.uk/ TechnicalReport s/ TechnicalReport sI nt r o.ht m . Alvaro Faria ( assist ed by Paul Gart hwait e) cont inued t o run a St at ist ical Advisory Service t o support r esear ch in ot her depart m ent s at t he Open Universit y. A websit e explains t he service: ht t p: / / www.m at hem at ics.open.ac.uk/ advisory. Furt her inform at ion on t he Depart m ent is available t hrough our w eb pages at ht t p: / / st at ist ics.open.ac.uk/ index.ht m l 3 . Te a ching Pr e se n t a t ion The Depart m ent pr esent ed five cour ses of 30 CATS point s each, nam ely, BM240 Quant it at ive Met hods in Business, M248 Analysing Dat a, M249 Pract ical Modern St at ist ics, M343 Applicat ions of Probabilit y and M346 Linear St at ist ical Modelling, and one cour se of 10 CATS point s, SMK184 Chance, Risk and Healt h, which runs four t im es a y ear. We cont inue t o be part icularly proud of M249. A st andard OU perform ance indicat or is t he per cent age of respondent s t o end- of- cour se surv eys t hat say t hey definit ely or m ost ly agreed wit h t he st at em ent “ Ov erall I am sat isfied wit h t he qualit y of t his cour se” . For M249, t he per cent age w as 99.1% out of 222 r espondent s. Only 3 of t he 136 ot her cour ses surv ey ed got a higher score and 2 of t hese hav e only sm all num bers of responsdent s and are special present at ions of st andard cour ses t hat in t heir m ain form did worse t han M249 on t his m easur e) .


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    The Open University Page 3 of 11 Each of t he first lev el m at hem at ics cour ses, MU120 Open Mat hem at ics and MST121 Using Mat hem at ics, cont ains subst ant ial am ount s of st at ist ical m at erial ( roughly one quart er of each) wit h which Alvaro Faria and Nickolay Tr endafilov were involved. Kevin McConway cont ribut ed t o t he pr esent at ion of SDK125 I nt roducing Healt h Science. Pr oduct ion Karen Vines work ed ext r em ely hard on alm ost single- handedly updat ing ( bot h com put at ionally and present at ionally) t he cont ent of M346, t he r evised version t o go out t o st udent s in 2009. The Group has st art ed product ion of M347 Mat hem at ical St at ist ics. As well as enhancing our t hird level provision wit h a new course t hat gives “ t he t heory behind t he m et hods” , t his cour se is not able for leading t he way wit hin t he Depart m ent in t erm s of elect ronic present at ions M347 is t o be pr esent ed ent irely on- line, and w e ar e invest igat ing ways of m aking t he very best use of m odern web- based t ools. Cat riona Queen and Chris Jones are course t eam co- chairs. Gillian I ossif is leading t he r evision of M343 Applicat ions of Probabilit y. This ver y successful but old, cour se is in need of a cert ain am ount of im provem ent and updat ing. Alvaro Faria collaborat ed wit h Alan Graham ( Mat hem at ics Educat ion) on t he pr oduct ion of t wo unit s on St at ist ics for MU123 Discovering Mat hem at ics, t he fort hcom ing replacem ent for Aw a r ds Our courses ar e cor e com ponent s of degr ees in Mat hem at ics and St at ist ics and in Com put ing and St at ist ics ( graduat es of which are only now st art ing t o em erge) and degr ees in Mat hem at ical Sciences and in Econom ics and Mat hem at ical Sciences, while BM240 is part of t he BA in Business St udies. The undergraduat e Diplom a in St at ist ics is now awarded t o st udent s who successfully st udy M248 or BM240, M249, M343 and M346 ( or t heir pr edecessors) . A lit t le under 100 st udent s ar e awarded t he Diplom a each y ear . 4 . Ph.D . a w a rde d Em m a n ue l M ubw a nda r ik w a for his t hesis Modalit y Condit ions and Prior Weight s in t he Geom et ric Com binat ion of Bay esian For ecast ing Models ( supervisors: A.E. Faria and P.H. Gart hwait e)


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    The Open University Page 4 of 11 5 . Re se a r ch int e re st s The Depart m ent is hom e t o t hree Research Gr oups: Mult ivariat e St at ist ics ( Crit chley ( chair) , Albers, Anaya, De, Faria, Gart hwait e, Gow er, Gragn, Jones, Queen, Taylor, Tr endafilov, Unkel, Vines, Const ant ine ( CSI RO, ret ired) , Cook ( Universit y of Minnesot a) , Marriot t ( Universit y of Wat erloo) ) . Bayesian St at ist ics ( Queen ( chair) , Albers, De, Faria, Far ringt on, Gart hwait e, Jenkinson, McConway, Vines, Whit aker) . Medical St at ist ics ( Whit aker ( chair) , Farringt on, Gart hwait e, Hocine, Vines, Jenkinson ( Universit y of Aberdeen) , Musonda ( Univer sit y of East Anglia) . Clearly, t hese t hr ee general groupings cov er a huge variet y of r esear ch pr oj ect s in St at ist ics. I nt er alia, t hey organise inform al int ernal r esear ch m eet ings. Research also cont inues, of cour se, on t opics not direct ly covered by t hese Resear ch Gr oups, of which dist ribut ion t heory , kernel sm oot hing, robust st at ist ics, t im e series for ecast ing and influence analysis are but a sm all select ion. St rong ongoing collaborat ions cont inue in areas such as m edicine, psychology and ecology. For det ails, see t he publicat ions, t alks and ot her it em s t o follow. 6 . Publica t ions 6 .1 Publica t ions in r e fe r e e d a ca de m ic j our na ls Albe r s, C.J. & Schaafsm a, W. ( 2008) Goodness of fit t est ing using a specific densit y est im at e. St at ist ics and Decisions, 26, 3- 23. Crawford, J.R. & Ga r t h w a it e , P.H . ( 2008) On t he “ opt im al” size for norm at ive sam ples in neuropsychology: Capt uring t he uncert aint y when norm at ive dat a are used t o quant ify t he st anding of a neur opsy chological t est scor e. Child Neur opsychology, 14, 99- 117. Crawford, J.R., Sut herland, D. & Ga r t h w a it e , P.H . ( 2008) On t he reliabilit y and st andard er rors of m easurem ent of cont rast m easures from t he D- KEFS. Journal of t he I nt ernat ional Neur opsychological Societ y, 14, 1069- 1073. Cr it chle y, F. & Jon e s, M .C. ( 2008) Asym m et ry and gradient asy m m et ry funct ions: densit y- based skewness and kurt osis. Scandinavian Journal of St at ist ics, 35, 415- 437. Fa r ia , A.E. & M ubw a n da r ik w a , E. ( 2008) Mult im odalit y on t he geom et ric com binat ion of Bay esian forecast ing m odels. I nt ernat ional Journal of St at ist ics and Managem ent Syst em s, 3, 1- 25. Fa r ia , A.E. & M ubw a nda r ik w a , E. ( 2008) , The geom et ric com binat ion of Bayesian for ecast ing m odels. Journal of Forecast ing, 27, 519- 535. Ga r t h w a it e , P.H ., Chilcot t , J.B., Jenkinson, D.J. & Tappenden, P. ( 2008) Use of expert knowledge in evaluat ing cost s and benefit s of alt ernat ive service provision: A case st udy. I nt ernat ional Journal of Technology Assessm ent in Healt h Car e, 24, 350- 357. Gow e r , J.C. ( 2008) The biological st im ulus t o m ult idim ensional dat a analysis. Elect r- onic Journ@l for Hist ory of Pr obabilit y and St at ist ics, 4. Jon e s, M .C. ( 2008) The dist ribut ion of t he rat io X/ Y for all cent red ellipt ically sym m et ric dist ribut ions. Journal of Mult ivariat e Analysis, 99, 572- 573. Jon e s, M .C. ( 2008) On reciprocal sym m et r y. Journal of St at ist ical Planning and I nfer ence, 138, 3039- 3043.


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    The Open University Page 5 of 11 Jon e s, M .C. ( 2008) On a class of dist ribut ions wit h sim ple exponent ial t ails. St at ist ica Sinica, 18, 1101- 1110. Jon e s, M .C. ( 2008) The t fam ily and t heir close and dist ant relat ions. Journal of t he Kor ean St at ist ical Societ y, 37, 293- 311. Discussion Paper. Jon e s, M .C. & Arnold, B.C. ( 2008) Dist ribut ions t hat ar e bot h log- sym m et ric and R- sym m et ric. Elect ronic Journal of St at ist ics, 2, 1300- 1308. Jone s, M .C., Park , H., Shin, K.I ., Vine s, S.K. & Jeong, S.O. ( 2008) Relat ive er r or predict ion via kernel r egression sm oot her s. Journal of St at ist ical Planning and I nference, 138, 2887- 2898. Lubbe- Gardner, D.L., le Roux , N,J. & Gow e r , J.C. ( 2008) Measures of fit in principal com ponent and canonical variat e analysis Journal of Applied St at ist ics, 35, 947- 965. Musonda, P., Hocine, M .N ., Andrews, N.J., Tubert - Bitt er, P. & Farringt on, C.P. ( 2008) Monit oring vaccine safety using case series cum ulative sum chart s. Vaccine, 26, 5358- 5367. Musonda, P., H ocine, M .N ., W hit ak er, H .J. & Fa rringt on, C.P. ( 2008) Self- cont rolled case series m et hod: sm all sam ple perform ance. Com put at ional St atist ics and Dat a Analysis, 52, 1942–1957. Qu e e n , C.M ., Wright , B. & Albe r s, C.J. ( 2008) For ecast covariances in t he linear m ult iregression dynam ic m odel. Journal of For ecast ing, 27, 175- 191. Twala, B.E.T.H., Jon e s, M .C. & Hand, D.J. ( 2008) Good m et hods for coping wit h m issing dat a in decision t rees. Pat t ern Recognit ion Let t ers, 29, 950- 956. W h it a k e r , H .J. ( 2008) The self- cont r olled case series m et hod: A way t o st udy t he r elat ion bet ween ant ipsychot ics and st roke. Brit ish Medical Journal, 337, 586- 587. Edit orial. 6 .2 Re fe r e e d confe r e nce pr oce e din gs Albe r s, C.J. ( 2008) Som e quadrat ic opt im isat ion problem s in psychom et rics. I n New Tr ends in Psychom et rics, eds: K. Shigem asu, A. Okada, T. I m aizum a, & T. Hodhina, Universal Academ y Pr ess, pp. 1- 6. Gow e r , J.C. ( 2008) Asym m et ry analysis: The place of m odels. I n New Tr ends in Psychom et rics, eds: K. Shigem asu, A. Okada, T. I m aizum a, & T. Hodhina, Universal Academ y Press, pp. 69- 78. 7 . Se m ina r s a nd confe r e nce s a t The Ope n Unive r sit y The 18t h nearly- annual Open Universit y st at ist ics confer ence was ent it led St a t ist ics for Public H e a lt h Sur ve illa nce , and was organised by Heat her Whit aker , Sarah Frain and Paddy Far ringt on. Speakers at t his one- day m eet ing were: Marianne Frisén ( Göt eborg Universit y) Opt im al st at ist ical surveillance of public healt h St ephen Evans and David Priet o ( London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) The use of Bayesian hierar chical m odels in pharm acovigilance Mounia Hocine ( Open Universit y) Sequent ial case series analysis for surv eillance of vaccine safet y Chris Robert son ( Universit y of St rat hclyde) Sy ndrom ic sur veillance at Healt h Prot ect ion Scot land Sim on Cauchem ez ( I m perial College London) Real- t im e m onit oring of infect ious disease out break s


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    The Open University Page 6 of 11 Heat her Whit aker ( Open Universit y) Ser ological surv eillance of childhood vaccinat ion program m es David Spiegelhalt er ( Universit y of Cam bridge and MRC Biost at ist ics Unit ) Ext rem e m ult iplicit y: m onit oring large num bers of indicat or s and areas or inst it ut ions Leonhard Held ( Zurich Universit y) Mult ivariat e m odelling of infect ious disease surv eillance dat a Ther e w er e also post er s present ed by: Nick Andrews ( Healt h Pr ot ect ion Agency) ; David Conesa ( Universit y of Valencia) ; Pat rick Musonda ( Universit y of East Anglia) ; V. Góm ez- Rubio ( I m perial College London) ; Balt azar Nunes ( I nst it ut o Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Port ugal) ; Michaela Paul ( Universit y of Zurich) ; Anne- Elie Carsin ( Nat ional Cancer Regist ry, I reland) ; and Theo Kypraios ( Univer sit y of Not t ingham ) . The gr oup also ran it usual sem inar pr ogram m e wit h invit ed speakers. Ov er t he y ear we heard: Christ ian Beckm ann ( John Radcliffe Hospit al, Oxford) Explorat or y FMRI group analy sis using t ensorial ext ensions t o independent com ponent analysis Marc Hallin ( Universit é Libre de Brusselles) From dist ribut ion- fr eeness t o sem iparam et ric efficiency: sixt y year s of rank- based infer ence David Banks ( Duke Univer sit y, Durham , NC) St at ist ical issues in m et abolom ics I nge Koch ( Universit y of New Sout h Wales, Sydney) Dim ension select ion wit h independent com ponent analysis and it s applicat ion t o pr edict ion Abdel Hannachi ( Universit y of Reading) Opt im al int erpolat ion pat t erns: A new t ool in clim at e dat a analy sis Richard Sam wort h ( Universit y of Cam bridge) Maxim um lik elihood est im at ion of a m ult idim ensional log- concave densit y Nicky Best ( Universit y College London) Enhancing inference fr om obser vat ional st udies by com bining m ult iple dat a sources: a Bay esian gr aphical m odelling appr oach We ran our fift h Annual Resear ch St udent s’ Resear ch Day , wher e speak er s w er e Doy o Gragn, Neville Callej a, Marco Mer ens, John Ur quhart , Swarup De, Angela Noufaily, Alun Owen and St effen Unk el. And we had t wo int ernal r esear ch m ornings. At t he first , in April, Paddy Farringt on, Mounia Hocine, Frank Crit chley and Alvaro Faria spok e; at t he second, in Novem ber, speak er s wer e Karim Anaya, Heat her Whit aker, Casper Alber s and Chris Jones.


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    The Open University Page 7 of 11 8 . Confe r e nce pa pe r s a nd post e r s pr e se nt e d K. An a y a I nt ernat ional Confer ence on Robust St at ist ics ( I CORS) 2008, Ant alya, Turkey Robust ness, cut s and geom et ry C.J. Albe r s 28t h I nt ernat ional Sym posium of For ecast ers, Nice, France For ecast ing t r affic flow s in r oad net works: A graphical dynam ic m odel approach Royal St at ist ical Societ y Annual Confer ence, Not t ingham Forecast ing t r affic flows in r oad net works: A graphical dynam ic m odel approach F. Cr it ch le y Royal St at ist ical Societ y Annual Conference, Not t ingham Em erging geom et ries for st at ist ical science 32 nd Annual Confer ence of t he Germ an Classificat ion Societ y. Ham burg. Germ any Principal axis analysis – wit h HDLSS bonuses! C.P. Fa r r ingt on 24 t h I nt ernat ional Biom et rics Confer ence, Dublin, I r eland I ndividual het erogeneit y: effect s and est im at ion for direct ly t ransm it t ed infect ious diseases, 24 t h I nt ernat ional Biom et rics Confer ence, Dublin, I r eland Case series analysis for dependent r ecur rent ev ent s 24 th I nt ernat ional Conference on Pharm acoepidem iology and Therapeutic Risk Managem ent , Copenhagen, Denm ark The self- cont rolled case series m et hod Journées de St at ist ique, Modélisat ion et Applicat ion, Algiers, Algeria Transm ission des m aladies infect ieuses: Modélisat ion et hét ér ogénéit é individuelle. J.C. Gow e r 7 t h I nt ernat ional Conference on Social Science Met hodology RC33 – Logic and Met hodology in Sociology, Naples, I t aly Assessing and display ing fit in principal com ponent analysis and canonical variat e analysis biplot s 24 t h I nt ernat ional Biom et ric Conference, Dublin, I reland Concerning biom et rics and psychom et rics [ post er] D . Gr a gn 31st Research St udent s' Conference in Probabilit y and St at ist ics ( RSC 2008) , Not t ingham Dim ensionalit y reduct ion for dat a of high dim ension


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    The Open University Page 8 of 11 M .N . H ocine St at ist ics for Public Healt h Surveillance, The Open Univer sit y Sequent ial case series analysis for sur veillance of vaccine safet y Epidem iology and Biom et ry: Recent St at ist ical Met hods in Epidem iology, Paris, France The self- cont r olled case series m et hod 29 t h Annual Confer ence of t he I nt ernat ional Societ y for Clinical Biost at ist ics, Copenhagen, Denm ar k Sequent ial m et hodology using t he case series m et hod Journées de St at ist ique, Modélisat ion et Applicat ion, Algiers, Algeria Self- cont r olled case series m odels for dependent r ecur r ent ev ent s M .C.Jon e s 2008 Cher ry Bud Wor kshop, Keio Universit y, Yokoham a, Japan Scaling for skewness, wit h spin- offs and insight s Workshop on Sk ew Sym m et ric Pr obabilit y Dist ribut ions, Bert inoro, I t aly Som e alt ernat iv e skew dist ribut ions Spring Meet ing of t he Kor ean St at ist ical Societ y, Gwangj u, Sout h Kor ea The t fam ily and t heir close and dist ant r elat ions [ special invit ed lect ure] C.M . Qu e e n Royal St at ist ical Societ y Conference, Not t ingham I nt ervent ion and causalit y in a dynam ic Bayesian net work N .T. Tr e nda f ilov 1st Work shop of t he ERCI M Wor king Group on Com put ing and St at ist ics, Neuchât el, Swit zerland Sim ple and int erpr et able discrim inat ion S.Unk e l I nt ernat ional Meet ing of t he Psy chom et ric Societ y ( I MPS) 2008, New Ham pshire, USA Sim ult aneous par am et er est im at ion in explorat ory fact or analy sis by weight ed least squares 17t h I nt ernat ional Work shop on Mat rices and St at ist ics ( I WMS '08) ( in honour of Professor T. W. Ander son's 90t h birt hday) , Tom ar, Port ugal Sim ult aneous param et er est im at ion in explorat ory fact or analysis Royal St at ist ical Societ y Annual Confer ence, Not t ingham I ndependent fact or analysis of clim at e dat a H .J. W h it a k e r St at ist ics for Public Healt h Surveillance, The Open Universit y Ser ological surveillance of childhood vaccinat ion pr ogram m es 24t h I nt ernat ional Biom et rics Confer ence, Dublin, I r eland Measur es of disassort at iv eness and t heir applicat ion t o direct ly t ransm it t ed infect ions


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    The Open University Page 9 of 11 Journees de St at ist iques et Applicat ion. Algiers, Algeria Case series analysis for censor ed, pert urbed or curt ailed post - event exposur es. 9 . Ot he r se m ina r s a nd t a lk s give n K. An a y a Universit y of St . Andrew s Sensit ivit y analysis, cut s and geom et r y F. Cr it ch le y ( wit h D E Tyler, H Oj a and L Düm bgen) Roy al St at ist ical Societ y Read Paper, London I nvariant coordinat e select ion C.P. Fa r r ingt on Present at ion t o a work shop in Berlin on t he case series m et hod and it s applicat ion: Case series m odels for ‘int er fer ent ’ ev ent s Present at ion t o a work shop in London on vaccines and childhood survival: Met hodological issues in t he design and analysis of cohort st udies of non- specific effect s of vaccines Universit y of Kent Case series m odels and ext ensions Universit y of Not t ingham Est im at ion of cont act surfaces for serological surv ey dat a Drug Safet y Research Unit , Sout ham pt on The self- cont rolled case series m et hod: applicat ions in pharm acoepidem iology P.H . Ga r t hw a it e Universit y of New Sout h Wales, Sydney, Aust ralia Select ion of prior w eight s for w eight ed m odel averaging M .C. Jon e s Universit é de Neuchât el, Swit zerland The t fam ily and t heir close and dist ant relat ions Universit y of Kent The t fam ily and t heir close and dist ant relat ions Universit y of Liverpool The t fam ily and t heir close and dist ant r elat ions 1 0 . Edit or ia l r ole s F. Cr it ch le y • Associat e Edit or: Journal de la Sociét é Francaise de St at ist ique • Edit orial Board Mem ber: St udies in Classificat ion, Dat a Analysis, and Knowledge Organizat ion ( book series, Springer) C.P. Fa r r ingt on • Edit orial Board Mem ber: Epidem iology and I nfect ion J.C. Gow e r


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    The Open University Page 10 of 11 • Associat e Edit or: The Mat hem at ical Scient ist M .C. Jon e s • Associat e Edit or: Annals of t he I nst it ut e of St at ist ical Mat hem at ics • Associat e Edit or: Com m unicat ions in St at ist ics • Associat e Edit or: Journal of St at ist ical Planning and I nfer ence • Associat e Edit or: Journal of t he Korean St at ist ical Societ y • Associat e Edit or: Pakist an Journal of St at ist ics • Associat e Edit or: St at ist ica Sinica • Associat e Edit or: St at ist ical Met hodology 1 1 . Gr a nt s Aw a rde d C.P. Fa r r ingt on & H .J. W hit a k e r A grant of £10,250 fr om t he Wellcom e Trust t o organise a confer ence or workshop on st at ist ical m et hods for dat abase resear ch in epidem iology 1 2 . Ot he r a ct ivit ie s F. Cr it ch le y • organised t he “ Em erging Geom et ries for St at ist ical Science” session at t he Royal St at ist ical Societ y I nt er nat ional Confer ence, Not t ingham • ext ernal referee for KUL ( Cat holic Universit y of Leuv en) Research Pr ofessor posit ions • int ernat ional m em ber of Agregacao Com m it t ee at I nst it ut o Superior Tecnico, Lisbon • exam ined a PhD at Univer sit y College London • ext ernal t hesis adviser, Universit y of Malaya C.P. Fa r r ingt on • m em ber of t he RSS Council • m em ber of t he WHO Ad- Hoc Com m it t ee on EPI Serology in Relat ion t o I nt erm it t ent Prevent ive Tr eat m ent in I nfant s against Malaria • m em ber of t he Wellcom e Trust ’s St udy Design Expert Gr oup • ext ernal exam iner for t he MSc in St at ist ical Science at t he Universit y of Lancast er • exam ined a PhD at t he I nst it ut e of Child Healt h, Universit y College London.


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    The Open University Page 11 of 11 P.H . Ga r t hw a it e • visit ing academ ic in t he Depart m ent of Mat hem at ics and St at ist ics, Universit y of New Sout h Wales, Sydney, Aust ralia ( unt il April) • ext ernal exam iner for undergraduat e st at ist ics cour ses at t he Universit y of Maurit ius • m em ber of t he MRC Panel of Expert s • exam ined PhDs for Queensland Universit y of Technology, Brisbane, Aust ralia and for t he Universit y of Warwick J.C. Gow e r • m em ber of t he Sir Ronald Aylm er Fisher Mem orial Com m it t ee of Great Brit ain • for eign m em ber of t he Advisor y Board of I OPS ( I nt eruniver sit aire Onderzoek school voor Psy chom et rie en Sociom et rie) • exam ined PhD at t he Universit y of Leiden, Net herlands M .C. Jon e s • exam ined PhD for t he Nat ional College of Business Adm inist rat ion and Econom ics, Lahor e, Pakist an K.J. M cCon w a y • is Associat e Dean ( Cur riculum and Awards) of t he Facult y of Mat hem at ics, Com put ing and Technology • cont inues his m edia wor k at an ev er incr easing pace: o academ ic consult ant on t wo m ore series of t he BBC Radio4/ OU series ‘More or Less’, including a cont ribut ion on air t o one pr ogram m e t alking about t he causat ion of st om ach ulcers UNI CEF r eport s on children and young people; o in January, did a piece on t he Radio 4 Analysis program m e " Jackanory Polit ics” about nar rat ive in polit ics, speaking about Kahnem an and Tv ersk y's w or k on heurist ics and biases; o ( wit h S. Usborne) wr ot e “ Num bers up: The t rut h about st at ist ics” for The I ndependent newspaper , 9 April 2008, Ext ra sect ion, pp. 8- 9. Also syndicat ed in t he Belfast Telegraph, 9 April 2008, and t he New Zealand Herald ( under t he t it le 'Lies, dam n lies and 150 coconut deat hs') , 12 April 2008. N .T. Tr e nda f ilov • m em ber of t he pr ogram com m it t ee for a Wor kshop of t he ERCI M Working Group on Com put ing and St at ist ics, Neuchât el, Swit zerland


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